I. Macroeconomic Environment and Trade Risk Analysis

The construction, plant, and basic materials industries are directly affected by five key factors: material costs, exchange rates, logistics, energy, and environmental regulations
. The global EPC market is expected to see increased demand from the Middle East, India, and Southeast Asia in 2025-2026, but carbon emissions, procurement regulations, and CBAM have emerged as new risks.
FTAs ​​have substantial benefits in reducing material procurement costs, diversifying supply chains, and mutually recognizing standards .

 

Risk factors

2025-2026 Outlook

Influence (1~5)

Implications

Steel and cement raw materialsA gradual increase due to increased demand from the Middle East and India.4Long-term contracts and FTA tariff reductions need to be implemented in parallel.
Carbon Border Adjustment (CBAM)Commercial levies expected in 20265Building emission tracking, LCA, and MRV data
EPC order riskStabilization of exchange rates and fares3FTA procurement provisions can be utilized
Safety and quality regulationsStrengthening international standards (ISO, EN)3Simultaneous response to testing and certification
Labor and ESG requirementsStrengthening human rights and safety management4ESG risk management becomes essential
Ⅱ. FTA Utilization Rate and Corporate Practice Statistics

Tariff reductions on basic materials such as steel, cement, glass, and pipes can reduce EPC project costs by 3-5%
. In FTA procurement chapters (particularly in the UAE and Saudi Arabia), local procurement recognition and easing of qualification requirements are practical benefits.

Item (HS example)

FTA applicability

Major challenges

Management Points

Cement and Clinker (HS2523)The effect of tariff reduction in RCEP and Korea-UAE CEPACBAM·Emission Factor CalculationCarbon Neutrality Certification and Emissions Unit Management
Steel structures (HS7308)Significant tariff reductions in the US, EU, and Southeast AsiaOrigin Complex and SMP RegulationsBOM-based automatic origin management
Glass and Stone (HS7005/6802)The MFN deviation is large and the tariff reduction effect is large.Quality and Safety CertificationSimultaneous possession of test results, EN, and KS
Piping and valves (HS7307)FTA Origin RVC and Assembly Processes are ImportantMixing of parts originPre-certification of assembly process standards
III. Matrix of Comparison of Tariffs and Non-Tariffs by Country

The Middle East (especially the UAE and Saudi Arabia) differs significantly in tariff reductions and relaxed procurement regulations based on the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA), while the EU strengthens CBAM, ESG, and EN certifications.
ASEAN has seen a significant improvement in streamlining customs clearance and standardization procedures for construction materials.

market

Main items

MFN (trend)

When FTA is applied

non-tariff barriers

Comments

EUCement, steel, and glass2~6%0% or reducedCBAM·EN Standard·Emission ReportingLCA·MRV required
UAESteel and basic materials5~10%Step-by-step 0% with CEPALocal procurement and GCC certificationExpanding EPC participation opportunities
USAsteel structures and pipes0~5%Low-rate and mutual recognitionASTM·AISC·Safety StandardsSimultaneous response to procurement and quality
ASEANCement, pipes, tilesMedium rateRCEP and bilateral reductionAdministrative procedures and standard deviationCumulative utilization glass

Note: Tax rates and requirements vary by HS, purpose, and specifications. Pre-assessment of HS and CBAM compliance data is recommended.

Ⅳ. ESG·CBAM Impact

The Carbon Border Adjustment (CBAM) system directly targets steel, cement, etc., and securing
the emissions calculation and reporting (MRV) system and LCA/Environmental Product Declaration (EPD) is essential to maintaining export and procurement qualifications.

System/Issue

Core requirements

Influence (1~5)

react

CBAMEmissions, LCA submission, and certification5MRV System and Emission Data Standardization
ESG due diligenceSafety, human rights, and environmental risks4Building a Supply Chain ESG Module
green procurementEnvironmental Performance/Low Carbon Certification4Acquired EPD and K-eco labels
Waste and RecyclingStrengthening circular economy and EPR3Utilization of slag and recycled materials
Energy efficiencyProcess and transportation savings3Smart Process and Power Mix Improvement
V. Investment and Supply Chain Transition Scenario

Korea: Focusing on high-value-added plant design and construction, smart construction, modular construction, and AI-based process management.

UAE and Saudi Arabia: Strengthening Procurement Cooperation Following the Korea-UAE CEPA, Increasing the Share of Local Manufacturing and Construction

ASEAN: Building Materials (Cement, Tiles, and Plumbing) Production Bases + RCEP Accumulation

EU: Establishing an Export Model Focused on Low-Carbon and Circular Materials in Response to CBAM

Ⅵ. AI-based 3-month export and import forecasts

Integrated policy and public announcement sentiment (α), global EPC order trends (β), and sector sentiment (λ).
Construction, plant, and basic materials are expected to show a gradual improvement due to the effects of the CBAM and CEPA programs .

variable

Δ(%) or exponent

analysis

ΔExport_now+2.4Driving plant material exports to the Middle East and ASEAN
ΔImport_now+1.2Reinforcement of steel and basic materials
ΔPrice_now+0.4Passing on the increase in raw material prices
ΔSignal_now+0.028Improving ordering sentiment, positive ESG news
ΔFTAEffect+0.32Cumulative effects of CEPA and RCEP
Forecast_3M+0.503-month gradual rise forecast

Formula (summary): Forecast_3M = 0.5·ΔSignal + 0.3·ΔFTAEffect + 0.2·ΔPrice

VII. Policy Recommendations and System Improvement Roadmap

field

Suggestion

Executor

Expected effect

CBAM responseBuilding an integrated MRV/LCA platformMinistry of Trade, Industry and Energy and Ministry of EnvironmentEnsuring export sustainability
Utilizing CEPAKorea-UAE Procurement Accreditation Manual and Certification CooperationTrade HeadquartersExpanding competitiveness in EPC orders
green procurementReflection of low-carbon and EPD in public biddingPublic Procurement Service and local governmentsEntering the ESG procurement market
RCEP·CumulativeASEAN local production and parts accumulation within the regionKorea Customs Service and KOTRAPromoting cost reduction and localization
Smart ConstructionBIM·AI process management infrastructureMinistry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport and Construction AssociationSimultaneous improvement of efficiency and quality
Ⅷ. Summary of Conclusions

The effectiveness of FTAs ​​in construction, plants, and basic materials is a combination of tariff reduction and the ability to respond to CBAM, ESG, and procurement standards .

Forecast_3M: +0.50 — A gentle upward trend due to increased orders from the Middle East and Southeast Asia.

Recommended strategies: ① CBAM·MRV response system ② CEPA procurement linkage ③ Green procurement·EPD expansion ④ RCEP accumulation and smart process optimization.