I. Macroeconomic Environment and Trade Risk Analysis

The advanced materials, quantum sensors, and superconductor industries are the central axes of the quantum technology, AI, and new material convergence industry
, and the global market size is expected to grow by more than 20% annually between 2025 and 2026, reaching approximately USD 300 billion in 2030. Access to materials, components, technology cooperation, and procurement markets
through FTAs ​​is a key competitive factor, and Korea is expanding its exports of quantum materials, measurement equipment, and nanoprocessing technology based on the Korea-EU, RCEP, CEPA, and IPEF . Key risks include the absence of technical standards, export controls, patent and IPR disputes, CBAM-type energy regulations , and the securitization of AI and quantum technology (in preparation for Q-Day) .


 

Risk factors

2025-2026 Outlook

Influence (1~5)

Implications

Absence of technical standardsIntensifying competition among countries for standards5Participation in ISO/IEC joint standards is necessary.
export controlsQuantum sensor and superconducting technology limitations4Resolution through Korea-EU technology agreement
CBAM proliferationHigh-energy materials and process regulations4Strengthening LCA and RE100 response
IP disputesPatent and material licensing disputes3Utilizing IP protection provisions within FTAs
Research personnel limitationsTechnology Leakage and Security Enhancement3Parallel technology security agreements are necessary.
Ⅱ. FTA Utilization Rate and Corporate Practice Statistics

FTAs mean more than just tariff reductions
in the advanced materials and quantum sensor industries. The Korea-EU-CEPA-RCEP agreement includes chapters on technology, standards, and research cooperation , supporting the accumulation of origin
for quantum sensor and superconductor equipment , market access, and technical data exchange
. CEPA is particularly expanding into joint Korea-UAE R&D through the UAE Quantum and New Materials Cluster Project .

Sub-fields

FTA applicability

Major challenges

Management Points

Superconducting materials (HS8541/7006)Korea-EU-RCEPSafety/Standard DiscrepanciesCE·IEC certification
Quantum sensor (HS9027)CEPA·Korea-EUIP·Export ControlJoint patent and technology security system
Nanomaterials (HS3824)RCEP·IPEFEnvironmental and CBAM RegulationsLCA·Low Carbon Certification
Low-temperature cooling and measuring equipmentCEPA·RCEPComplicated procurement processUtilizing CEPA technology procurement
III. Matrix of Comparison of Tariffs and Non-Tariffs by Country

While most advanced materials and quantum equipment are low-tariff items, technological security, standards certification, and environmental assessments pose barriers.
FTAs ​​alleviate these practical barriers to entry through technology recognition, open procurement markets, and mutual recognition of standards .

market

Main items

MFN (basic rate)

When FTA is applied

non-tariff barriers

Comments

EUQuantum sensors and superconducting materials0~3%0%CBAM·EcolabelLCA and carbon data obligations
UAENano-sensor equipment5~8%CEPA phase-outTechnology Security and Procurement RegulationsKorea and the UAE are engaged in bilateral industrial cooperation.
japanNanomaterials and measuring equipment2~4%RCEP applicationJIS Safety CertificationCan be alleviated through joint R&D
USAQuantum materials and cooling systems0~2%FTA low rateITAR·AI SecurityCHIPS·Quantum Initiative Linkage
ASEANAdvanced materials3~6%RCEP cumulativeQuality and environmental regulationsExpanding production bases and OEMs
Ⅳ. Impact of ESG, CBAM, RE100, and Technology Standards

The advanced materials industry is evaluated as an industry that has high-power and high-carbon processes ,
but at the same time supplies **carbon reduction technology materials (superconductivity, power efficiency, quantum resistance)**.

System/Issue

Core requirements

Influence (1~5)

react

CBAMSubmission of carbon data by material process5LCA·EPD construction
ESG procurementProduction and supply chain transparency4ESG Certification and Disclosure
RE100Renewable power for research and production facilities3PPA·ESS linkage
Technical standardsParticipation in ISO/IEC international standards4Securing standards leadership
safety regulationsSuperconductor and cooling equipment safety certification3IEC·CE integrated certification
V. Investment and Supply Chain Transition Scenario

Korea: Strengthening material-equipment linkage industrial clusters based on core nano, superconductivity, and quantum sensor technologies.

EU: Demand for low-carbon, advanced materials surges due to the Green Deal and CBAM , expanding procurement market openness.

UAE: Establishing a CEPA-based quantum and materials R&D cluster.

ASEAN: Emerging as a hub for advanced materials intermediate processing.

United States: Strengthening local production and supply chains based on the IRA and CHIPS laws.

Ⅵ. AI-based 3-month export and import forecasts

Combining AI sentiment (α), global advanced materials investment indicator (β), and industrial sentiment (λ), a gradual upward trend is expected
in the fourth quarter of 2025 , driven by expanded EU/CEPA technology procurement and increased demand for ESG-friendly materials .

variable

Δ(%) or exponent

analysis

ΔExport_now+3.5Increased exports of superconducting materials and quantum sensors
ΔImport_now+1.8Expanding imports of high-purity materials and measuring equipment
ΔPrice_now+0.6Reflecting the increase in raw material and process costs
ΔSignal_now+0.042Positive technology and R&D news
ΔFTAEffect+0.39CEPA·RCEP technological effects
Forecast_3M+0.663 months of gradual upward trend

Formula (summary): Forecast_3M = 0.5·ΔSignal + 0.3·ΔFTAEffect + 0.2·ΔPrice

VII. Policy Recommendations and System Improvement Roadmap

field

Suggestion

Executor

Expected effect

Technical standardsExpanding Participation in ISO/IEC Quantum and Superconductivity StandardsMinistry of Science and ICT and Ministry of Trade, Industry and EnergySecuring technological leadership
CBAM responseSupport for LCA certification of low-carbon advanced materialsMinistry of Environment and KTRStable entry into the European market
IP protectionExpansion of technology and data protection provisions within FTAsTrade HeadquartersMinimizing technology theft and disputes
CEPA cooperationOperation of a joint quantum and materials R&D programMinistry of Science and ICT·KOTRAExpanding into the Middle East and EU markets
ESG incentivesExpanding RE100 Certification for Advanced MaterialsMinistry of Trade, Industry and Energy and Korea Electric Power CorporationStrengthening procurement competitiveness
Ⅷ. Summary of Conclusions

For the advanced materials, quantum sensors, and superconductor industries, cooperation on technology standards, ESG, and procurement through FTAs ​​is key to accelerating growth.

Forecast_3M: +0.66 — Reflecting the technological benefits of CEPA and RCEP and the expansion of the EU procurement market.

Recommended strategies: ① Strengthening standards and IP within the FTA technology chapter, ② Expanding joint research based on CEPA
, ③ Establishing an LCA system in response to CBAM, and ④ Strengthening the advanced materials supply chain based on ESG+RE100.