I. Macroeconomic Environment and Trade Risk Analysis

The biomaterials and eco-friendly textile industries are expected to accelerate the expansion of free-trade agreement-based low-carbon supply chains in 2025-2026 due to mandatory RE100, CBAM, and ESG procurement . Korea is actively securing tariff benefits for bioplastics and circular fibers , as well as the cumulative use of textile and material origin through agreements such as the Korea-EU, RCEP, and CEPA . Key risks include the expansion of the EU CBAM , rising certification costs , and price competition with China and ASEAN .



 

Risk factors

2025-2026 Outlook

Influence (1~5)

Implications

CBAM proliferationDiscussion on application to textile and chemical products5LCA and low-carbon certification are essential
RE100 expansionMandatory global brand supply chain4Renewable power and PPA application required
ESG Procurement StandardsEnvironmental Performance Labeling and Supply Chain Disclosure4ESG reporting becomes mandatory
China and ASEAN low-cost suppliersIntensifying competition3Technology and Design Premium Strategy
Certification/StandardsRising costs for EU Ecolabel and OEKO-TEX3Promoting mutual recognition of certification between governments
Ⅱ. FTA Utilization Rate and Corporate Practice Statistics

FTAs offer substantial benefits for eco-friendly textiles and biomaterials, including country-of-origin accumulation, tariff elimination, and market access
. Korea-EU, CEPA, and RCEP include tariff reductions for recycled and low-carbon products and eco-friendly procurement provisions
. Textile companies are leveraging these agreements to diversify raw materials, reduce EU entry costs, and strengthen export strategies linked to RE100 certification .

field

FTA applicability

Major challenges

Management Points

Biofiber (HS5509)Korea-EU-RCEPCBAM response·LCALow-carbon certification and EPR response
Recycled polyester (HS5402)RCEP·CEPAQuality and environmental standardsGRS·OEKO-TEX certification
Bioplastic (HS3920)CEPA·Korea-EUCertification/standard mismatchEU Ecolabel in parallel
Eco-friendly yarn and dyeRCEP·CEPAInsufficient environmental dataEstablishment of LCA and carbon accounting
III. Matrix of Comparison of Tariffs and Non-Tariffs by Country

Environmental certification and procurement standards vary across major exporting countries, and
eliminating non-tariff barriers through FTAs ​​is key to maintaining competitiveness.
The EU is strengthening its CBAM and Ecolabel, the US is implementing ESG reporting, and the UAE is strengthening its eco-friendly procurement regulations based on the CEPA.

market

Main items

MFN (basic rate)

When FTA is applied

non-tariff barriers

Comments

EURecycled fibers and bioplastics4~8%0%CBAM·EcolabelEnvironmental and certification cost management is essential
USAfunctional fibers3~7%FTA low rateESG ReportingExpanding ESG impact beyond CBAM
UAEBiofibers and eco-friendly clothing5~10%Phase-out through CEPAGreen Procurement RegulationsVisualizing the effectiveness of CEPA
japanTextile materials and films2~6%RCEP applicationEnergy efficiency standardsExpand joint development of yarn
ASEANDyeing and processing fibers5~12%RCEP cumulative utilizationTechnical standard deviationUtilizing low-cost production bases
Ⅳ. Impact of ESG, CBAM, and RE100

Global brands (Nike, H&M, Adidas, etc.) plan to apply RE100 and ESG procurement obligations across their supply chains by 2026 , and
the EU CBAM is discussing expanding it to textiles, plastics, and leather .

System/Issue

Core requirements

Influence (1~5)

react

CBAMSubmission of low-carbon yarn and process data5LCA·Emissions Data Construction
RE100100% renewable energy use4PPA·ESS linked operation
ESG procurementSupply Chain Transparency and Disclosure of Working Conditions4Establishing an ESG reporting system
circular economyRecycled material usage rate3Expansion of GRS and RCS certification
Environmental certificationOEKO-TEX Ecolabel3Integrated Management of International Certification
V. Investment and Supply Chain Transition Scenario

Korea: Center for textile and bioplastics R&D clusters (Daegu, Changwon, and Ulsan areas).

EU: Strengthening CBAM and ESG regulations to expand imports of high-quality, eco-friendly materials.

UAE: Expanding procurement of Korean textile materials based on CEPA.

ASEAN: Maintaining low-cost production bases, increasing demand for Korean yarn and technology.

US: Expanding supply chains based on ESG certifications.

Ⅵ. AI-based 3-month export and import forecasts

Combining news sentiment (α), ESG policy strength (β), and textile industry sentiment (λ),
the biomaterials and eco-friendly textile industries are expected to maintain a moderate upward trend in the fourth quarter of 2025, driven by the EU and CEPA effects .

variable

Δ(%) or exponent

analysis

ΔExport_now+3.3Increase in exports of biofibers and recycled products
ΔImport_now+1.9Increase in imports of raw materials and equipment
ΔPrice_now+0.4Reflection of CBAM response costs
ΔSignal_now+0.042Positive momentum in ESG and RE100 news
ΔFTAEffect+0.39Reflecting the effects of CEPA and RCEP
Forecast_3M+0.663 months of gradual upward trend

Formula (summary): Forecast_3M = 0.5·ΔSignal + 0.3·ΔFTAEffect + 0.2·ΔPrice

VII. Policy Recommendations and System Improvement Roadmap

field

Suggestion

Executor

Expected effect

CBAM responseEstablishment of a fiber and plastic LCA databaseMinistry of Environment and Ministry of Trade, Industry and EnergyStrengthening EU market responsiveness
RE100·ESGExpanding PPA and RE100 incentivesMinistry of Trade, Industry and Energy·KETIBuilding an eco-friendly supply chain
Certification HarmonizationPromoting mutual recognition of Ecolabel and OEKO-TEXTrade Headquarters·KOTRAReduce certification costs
Materials technologyTax support for biomaterial R&DMinistry of Strategy and Finance and Ministry of Trade, Industry and EnergyStrengthening technological independence and competitiveness
circular economyEstablishment of new standards for procurement of recycled fibersMinistry of Environment and Public Procurement ServiceEasy entry into the ESG procurement market
Ⅷ. Summary of Conclusions

The FTA will lead to the elimination of non-tariff barriers to trade in eco-friendly materials and circular fibers and the enhancement of ESG competitiveness .

Forecast_3M: +0.66 — Reflecting the effects of CEPA and RCEP and demand for RE100 and CBAM.

Recommended strategies: ① Cumulative use of CEPA and RCEP ② RE100-based production ③ ESG certification integration ④ CBAM response data construction.