I. Macroeconomic environment and trade risks

division

Key Contents

Implications

global economyDemand for healthcare and pharmaceuticals remains inelastic even amidst economic slowdown.Limiting the impact of economic fluctuations
Regulatory changesStrengthening quality regulations, including EU GMP certification and FDA approval.Factors driving up import costs
Exchange rate impactImport prices rise when the won weakensForeign currency risk management is necessary.
Health policyThe aging population and the prevalence of chronic diseases are increasing, leading to an increase in new drug approvals.Imported drug costs continue to rise

Given the structure of medical expenditures, pharmaceutical imports are strongly necessitated, and exchange rates, patents, and certification factors have a decisive impact on import price fluctuations.

Ⅱ. Analysis of Import Item Status and Characteristics

item

detail

HS code30 (Pharmaceutical products)
Main subcategories3002 (blood and immune substances), 3004 (mixed pharmaceuticals), 3006 (medicinal preparations)
Import volume in 2024Approximately USD 16.8 billion (+4.2% YoY)
industrial structure70% finished products, 30% raw materials (API)
Major import sectorsanticancer drugs, rare disease drugs, vaccines, biosimilars

Imports of finished products are overwhelming, and the proportion of imports of expensive biopharmaceuticals continues to increase.

Ⅲ. Major importing countries and supply chain structure

ranking

importing country

specific gravity(%)

Features and Risks

1germany22.4Vaccines and anticancer drugs are on the rise
2Swiss18.7Global new drugs and anticancer drugs
3USA17.5Rare diseases and biopharmaceuticals
4france10.2Vaccines and antibiotics
5japan8.5Raw materials and prepared pharmaceuticals
6Italy4.7Generics/Antibiotics
etc18.0Multinational pharmaceutical products produced locally 

The top six countries together account for approximately 82% – concentrated in specific regions with a European-centric supply chain.

Ⅳ. Import volume and supply stability

division

2023 Q3

2024 Q3

Increase/decrease (%)

characteristic

Finished product (packaged medicine)428 kt446 kt+4.2Focus on anticancer drugs and vaccines
raw materials (API)192 kt203 kt+5.7Pharmaceutical companies respond to increased production
biopharmaceuticals64 kt73 kt+14.1The surge in cell and protein therapies

Biopharmaceutical imports are growing rapidly , driving overall import growth.

V. Unit price and price trends

division

2024 Q1 (USD/kg)

2024 Q2

2024 Q3

QoQ

Average unit price of finished products818385+2.4%
raw materials (API)192122+4.8%
biopharmaceuticals312328337+2.7%

High-priced biologics drive overall average unit price increases.

Ⅵ. Seasonal patterns

branch

characteristic

Volatility (0–1)

Q1Vaccine off-season, inventory adjustments0.48
Q2Increase in medical institution purchases0.57
Q3New drug approvals and vaccine imports peak0.69
Q4Budget exhaustion and bidding concentration0.63
VII. Tariff and Non-Tariff Barriers and Alternative Industries

item

detail

tariffMost FTAs ​​are duty-free or have reduced pharmaceutical prices.
Non-tariffGMP · PIC/S · Clinical Data Submission Obligation
Domestic alternative industriesExpansion of generics and biosimilars
assignmentLocalization of raw materials (mainly chemically synthesized APIs), quality homogenization
Ⅷ. ESG·Net Zero Correlation

characteristic

evaluation

analysis

Production carbon emissionsmiddleSynthetic and fermentation processes are energy-intensive.
ESG RiskmiddleDisposal and safety issues of expired pharmaceuticals
Net Zero ContributionawardReducing the burden of disease and improving access to health care
Circular economy elementsmiddleExpanding the transition to refillable packaging and eco-friendly packaging materials
Ⅸ. Country-specific risk indices

importing country

Policy (0–1)

Logistics (0–1)

Trust Index

germany0.220.240.84
Swiss0.210.230.85
USA0.250.270.80
france0.280.290.78
japan0.320.330.75

Average Trust Index ≈ 0.80 (stable) – Low risk due to supply centered on developed countries.

Ⅹ. Key Buyers and Industry Links

industry

Major institutions and companies

Imported items

note

Hospital/PharmacyGeneral hospitals and wholesalersVaccines, anticancer drugs, and high blood pressure medicationsHigh proportion of public bidding
pharmacistdomestic pharmaceutical companiesRaw materials (API), additivesFor domestic manufacturing
bio companiesCelltrion, Samba, LG Chem BioBio-raw materials, technology partnershipsImport → localization in progress
Ⅺ. Summary of Industry Dependency

division

Dependency

movement

finished producthighMore than 70% of imported drugs are European pharmaceuticals.
raw materials (API)middlePromoting localization
biopharmaceuticalshighContinued dependence on advanced countries' supply chains
vaccinehighEssential imported items, progressing towards localization
Ⅻ. AI Trade Index & 3-Month Forecast

characteristic

Currently (2025 Q3)

Compared to the previous quarter (Δ%)

analysis

ΔImport+5.0%▲0.8Expanding imports of high-priced biologics
ΔPrice+2.6%▲0.4Impact of exchange rates and logistics costs
ΔCountryShare+0.3%▲0.1Rising European weight
Trust Index0.80=Stable
Forecast (3M)+5.8%Factors in New Drug Approval and Vaccine Bidding

Summary: HS30 imports are in a "stable upward trend."
Imports continue to expand due to an aging population and the launch of new drugs. Substitution with domestic generics and biosimilars is a mid- to long-term challenge.

ⅩⅢ. Policy Recommendations and System Improvement Roadmap

division

Suggestion

Expected effect

1Expansion of the fund for domestic production of raw pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs)Technological independence and supply stability
2Disclosure of imported biopharmaceutical price information and AI monitoringImproving drug price transparency
3Establishment of a joint European GMP and FDA-approved data centerEliminate duplicate authentication
4Digitizing the Public Vaccine Procurement PlatformShortening delivery times and stock management
5ESG packaging transition incentivesReduced environmental burden + increased brand value
ⅩⅣ. General Conclusion

HS30 (Pharmaceuticals) Imports Trade Index – 2025 Q3
ΔImport +5.0% , ΔPrice +2.6% , Trust 0.80 , Forecast (3M) +5.8%
Imports of high-priced biopharmaceuticals, centered in Europe, are increasing . Supply chain stability is sound, but cost and exchange rate risks remain.
Domestic production, AI procurement, and ESG transition are key strategic directions.