I. Macroeconomic environment and trade risks

division

Main contents

Implications

global economyManufacturing recovery and expansion of eco-friendly industriesCopper imports increase due to demand for electric vehicles and renewable energy.
raw material pricesLME copper price range: USD 9,800 → USD 10,200 per tonHigh price stability, cost burden factor
Exchange rate and logistics costsRising exchange rates and easing transportation costsLimited short-term cost burden
ESG and carbon regulationsCopper smelting energy is somewhat carbon-intensive.Strengthening the preference for low-carbon, recycled copper

Copper is a key metal in the electrical, electronic, and eco-friendly industries, and is emerging as a strategic resource in the carbon-neutral era .

Ⅱ. Analysis of Import Item Status and Characteristics

item

detail

HS code74 (Copper and articles thereof)
Main subcategories7402 (refined copper and alloys), 7408 (wires), 7411 (pipes), 7418 (other products)
Import volume in 2024approximately USD 12.3 billion (+5.8%)
Major demand sourcesElectrical and electronics (45%), automobiles and electrical equipment (25%), construction (15%), machinery and shipbuilding (10%), and others (5%)
structureRefined copper → processed materials → wire and parts imports in that order

Rapid growth in electric vehicles, secondary batteries, and renewable energy equipment is driving increased copper imports.

III. Characteristics of major importing countries and supply chains

ranking

importing country

specific gravity(%)

Features and Risks

1Chile29.6The world's largest source of high-quality refined copper
2japan20.4High-purity copper plate and wire materials
3china16.7Semi-finished products and processed materials
4Indonesia9.8Expanding smelting capacity, emerging new suppliers
5vietnam7.1Wires and processed materials
6Peru5.8Mining and Refining Supply
7USA4.2Advanced alloys and industrial materials
etc6.4Multinational suppliers including Canada 

The top five countries account for approximately 83.6% of the market , and the supply chain is comprised of three axes: South America, Japan, and Southeast Asia .

Risks: Chilean mine strikes and environmental regulations, and a surge in Chinese domestic consumption → possible decline in exports.

Ⅳ. Import share by country

nation

Import share (%)

Δ Proportion (previous quarter)

characteristic

Chile29.6▼0.5Impact of the mine strike
japan20.4▲0.6Wire and high-purity plate center
china16.7▼0.4Impact of expanding domestic demand
Indonesia9.8▲0.4New refinery supply
vietnam7.1▲0.2Increase in imports of processed materials
Peru5.8=Stable mine supply
USA4.2=Special alloys and parts
etc6.4▼0.3Diversification in progress

Increased weighting of Japan and Southeast Asia , concurrent efforts to mitigate mining risks in South America.

V. Import volume and supply stability

division

2023 Q3

2024 Q3

Increase/decrease (%)

characteristic

Refined and unprocessed copper2.31 Mt2.48 Mt+7.4Industrial recovery and electricity demand
Processed materials (plates, rods, tubes)0.89 Mt0.95 Mt+6.7Wire and automotive materials
Wires and cables0.46 Mt0.49 Mt+6.5EV and infrastructure expansion
Copper scrap (recycling)0.53 Mt0.56 Mt+5.7Circular economy and carbon reduction demand

Imports of refined copper and processed materials are growing at a rapid pace , with demand for wires in particular expanding significantly.

Ⅵ. Unit price and price trends

Item

2024 Q1 (USD/t)

2024 Q2

2024 Q3

QoQ Δ(%)

refined copper9 4309 78010 120+3.5
Wire sheet material10 96011 18011 350+1.5
Alloy/Tube9 8409 97010 100+1.3
Scrap (recycling)6 4206 6006 780+2.7

Overall unit price increases gradually due to electricity costs and carbon tax factors .

Ⅶ. Seasonal patterns

branch

characteristic

Volatility (0–1)

Q1Inventory adjustment machine0.45
Q2Manufacturing and export expansion period0.60
Q3Power and construction peak0.74
Q4Delivery adjustment and stockpiling0.57
Ⅷ. Tariff and Non-Tariff Barriers and Alternative Industries

item

detail

tariffMost FTAs ​​are duty-free, with some exceptions for scrap.
Non-tariffEnvironmental and Mining Ethics Standards Requirement (ESG Certification)
Domestic alternativeLS MnM, Korea Zinc, and others are expanding their domestic refining capabilities.
assignmentLow-carbon smelting technology, strengthening circulation and recycling systems
Ⅸ. ESG·Net Zero Correlation

characteristic

evaluation

analysis

Carbon emissions impactawardHigh smelting power consumption
ESG RiskmiddleEnvironmental disputes in some South American mines
Net Zero ContributionawardEssential materials for electric vehicles and renewable energy
circular economyawardScrap imports and recycling are actively expanding.
Ⅹ. Country-specific risk indices

importing country

Policy (0–1)

Logistics (0–1)

Trust Index

Chile0.320.300.78
japan0.220.240.84
china0.360.350.70
Indonesia0.280.300.76
vietnam0.300.310.75
Peru0.330.320.77
USA0.250.280.81

Average Trust Index ≈ 0.77 (good) – Japan and South America supply lines are stable, but China risks exist.

Ⅺ. Key Buyers and Industry Links

industry

Major companies

Imported items

characteristic

Electrical and ElectronicsSamsung Electronics and LG ElectronicsHigh-purity copper plates and cablesSemiconductor and electrical equipment
Electric vehicles and batteriesHyundai Motor Company, LG Electronics, and SK OnWires, busbars, and collectorsHigh import proportion
Construction and shipbuildingHyundai Engineering and Construction · Samsung Heavy IndustriesPipes and platesFor plants
power facilitiesKEPCO and Hyosung Heavy IndustriesCables and TranscoresMaintaining a stable income
Ⅻ. AI Trade Index & 3-Month Forecast

characteristic

Currently (2025 Q3)

Compared to the previous quarter (Δ%)

analysis

ΔImport+5.6%▲0.8Increasing demand for electric vehicles and electricity
ΔPrice+3.1%▲0.6Impact of rising LME prices
ΔCountryShare+0.4%▲0.2Increased share of Japan and Indonesia
Trust Index0.77=stable supply chain
Forecast (3M)+6.0%Continued investment in renewable energy and the power grid

Summary: HS 74 imports are in a solid positive trend .
The expansion of electric vehicle and renewable energy facilities is a key driver of copper imports, and the three-axis supply chain (South America, Japan, and Southeast Asia) remains stable.

ⅩⅢ. Policy Recommendations and System Improvement Roadmap

division

Suggestion

Expected effect

1Introduction of a low-carbon, recycled copper certification systemStrengthening CBAM and ESG Response
2Expanding copper scrap recovery and refining infrastructureReducing import dependence
3LME · AI Price-Linked Procurement System DevelopmentCost stabilization
4Signing of MOU for cooperation on South American mining supply chainsRisk diversification
5Support for R&D on copper materials for electric vehicles and energyPromotion of high value-added industrial development
ⅩⅣ. General Conclusion

HS 74 (Copper and Articles Thereof) Imports Trade Index – 2025 Q3
ΔImport +5.6% , ΔPrice +3.1% , Trust 0.77 , Forecast (3M) +6.0% → Continued import growth
driven by expansion of electric vehicles, power, and renewable energy infrastructure , and transition to low-carbon refining and recycled copper are key future strategies.