I. Macroeconomic environment and trade risks

division

Main contents

Implications

global economyManufacturing and construction continue to recoverA gradual rebound in steel import demand
raw material costsIron ore and scrap prices remain stableStable import price
trade regulationsContinued expansion of anti-dumping and safeguard measuresPossibility of import restrictions on certain countries
environmental regulationsExpanding carbon neutrality and CBAM phasesAccelerating the transition to low-carbon and recycled steel imports

HS73 steel products are a group of products that are processed and assembled after raw steel materials (HS72) , and are closely linked to changes in demand in the automobile, construction, and shipbuilding industries.

Ⅱ. Analysis of Import Item Status and Characteristics

item

detail

HS code73 (Articles of iron or steel)
Main subcategories7304 (steel pipes), 7308 (structural and bridge materials), 7318 (bolts and nuts), 7321 (stoves and heaters), etc.
Import volume in 2024Approximately USD 8.4 billion (+3.6% YoY)
Demand industryAutomobiles, construction, machinery, shipbuilding, and energy facilities
structure70% intermediate goods (steel pipes and bolts), 30% consumer goods and equipment parts

Imports of highly processed steel products rather than raw materials are steadily increasing, and steel pipes for automobile parts and industrial equipment are particularly key items.

III. Characteristics of major importing countries and supply chains

ranking

importing country

specific gravity(%)

Features and Risks

1china28.4Price competitiveness, low-cost steel pipes and bolts
2japan21.7High-precision parts and industrial steel
3vietnam11.5Role as a processing export base
4taiwan9.3stainless steel products
5germany7.8Focus on machinery and automobile parts
6Italy5.2structural steel
7USA4.5Steel pipes for energy facilities
etc11.6India, Malaysia, etc. 

The top five countries account for approximately 78.7% of imports .
While the import structure is centered on China and Japan, the share of highly processed goods from the EU and Vietnam has been gradually increasing.

Ⅳ. Import share by country

nation

Import share (%)

Δ Proportion (compared to previous quarter)

characteristic

china28.4▼0.6Slowdown in low-cost imports
japan21.7▲0.4Expansion of precision machined materials
vietnam11.5▲0.3Strengthening assembly and processing base functions
taiwan9.3=Stable stainless steel supply
germany7.8▲0.2Focus on high-quality industrial materials
Italy5.2=Centered on architectural structures
USA4.5▲0.1Steel pipes for energy plants
etc11.6▼0.4Slight decrease in India, Malaysia, etc.

Diversification is underway, with a decreasing dependence on China and an increasing proportion of products from Japan, Vietnam, and the EU .

V. Import volume and supply stability

division

2023 Q3

2024 Q3

Increase/decrease (%)

Key trends

Pipes & Tubes1.12 Mt1.19 Mt+6.3Increasing demand for energy and shipbuilding
Beams & Structures0.67 Mt0.70 Mt+4.4Increased demand for construction and plants
Bolts and nuts (Fasteners)0.41 Mt0.44 Mt+7.3Expanding auto parts imports
Household and mechanical parts0.26 Mt0.27 Mt+3.8domestic demand recovery

Overall growth is due to recovery in industrial demand , with imports of steel pipes for energy, shipbuilding, and automobiles in particular increasing.

Ⅵ. Unit price and price trends

Item

2024 Q1 (USD/t)

2024 Q2

2024 Q3

QoQ Δ(%)

steel pipes1,8401,8701,910+2.1
structural steel1,6201,6401,660+1.2
Bolts and nuts3,8503,8903,940+1.3
Stainless steel processing materials4,7204,7504,810+1.3

Despite the stabilization of raw material prices, a gradual upward trend continues due to the reflection of energy and logistics costs.

Ⅶ. Seasonal patterns

branch

characteristic

Volatility (0–1)

Q1Off-season demand (construction slowdown)0.41
Q2Manufacturing recovery period0.56
Q3Project Concentrator (Shipbuilding/Construction)0.73
Q4Inventory adjuster0.59
Ⅷ. Tariff and Non-Tariff Barriers and Alternative Industries

item

detail

tariffMany FTA items are duty-free, and some structural materials are subject to a 3-5% discount.
Non-tariffStrengthening quality certification (KS, ISO) and country of origin verification
Domestic alternative industriesPOSCO, Hyundai Steel, and SeAH Besteel expand domestic production.
assignmentCBAM compliance (low-carbon steel certification) and securing cost competitiveness compared to imported products.
Ⅸ. ESG·Net Zero Correlation

characteristic

evaluation

analysis

Carbon emissions impactawardHigh carbon intensity in the steelmaking process
ESG RiskmiddleInadequate environmental regulations in some importing countries
Net Zero ContributionmiddleRecycled steel and low-carbon certification can be expanded.
circular economyawardThe growing trend of scrap utilization and recycled steel imports
Ⅹ. Country-specific risk indices

importing country

Policy (0–1)

Logistics (0–1)

Trust Index

china0.380.360.68
japan0.250.260.82
vietnam0.290.300.76
taiwan0.270.280.78
germany0.230.250.83
Italy0.260.270.79
USA0.280.310.75

The average Trust Index is ≈ 0.77 (good).
China risk is easing, but gaps in quality and environmental standards still exist. The increased proportion of products from Japan and the EU is contributing to improved trust.

Ⅺ. Key Buyers and Industry Links

industry

Major companies

Imported items

characteristic

automobileHyundai, Kia, and MandoBolts, nuts, and small steel materialsPrecision machining center
Shipbuilding and PlantsHyundai Heavy Industries and Samsung Heavy IndustriesSteel pipes and plant structuresContinued imports of high-strength steel
erectionHyundai Engineering & Construction and POSCO Engineering & ConstructionSteel frames and boltsLarge-scale field-centered
energySK Energy and GS CaltexSteel pipes for plantsHigh import ratio
Machinery and industrial materialsDoosan and Hyundai WiaPipes for partsParallel import and domestic sales
Ⅻ. AI Trade Index & 3-Month Forecast

characteristic

Currently (2025 Q3)

Compared to the previous quarter (Δ%)

analysis

ΔImport+4.5%▲0.6Driving demand for automobiles and shipbuilding
ΔPrice+1.7%▲0.3Energy cost impact
ΔCountryShare+0.3%▲0.1Increased presence in Japan and Vietnam
Trust Index0.77=Stable
Forecast (3M)+4.9%Continued demand for shipbuilding and construction projects

Summary: HS73 imports are showing a “positive-neutral”
recovery, centered on industrial intermediate goods, with imports of carbon-neutral steel and high-precision parts gradually expanding.

ⅩⅢ. Policy Recommendations and System Improvement Roadmap

division

Suggestion

Expected effect

1Introduction of a low-carbon steel product certification systemCBAM response and securing ESG competitiveness
2Support for the domestic production of high value-added steel componentsAlleviating dependence on industrial imports
3AI-based procurement managementStrengthening price forecasting and risk response
4Establishment of a Korea-EU Steel Technology Cooperation PlatformImproving technology and standards consistency
5Promoting a circular steel economy (recycling scrap and waste steel)Carbon reduction and resource conservation effects
ⅩⅣ. General Conclusion

HS 73 (Articles of Iron or Steel) Imports Trade Index – 2025 Q3
ΔImport +4.5% , ΔPrice +1.7% , Trust 0.77 , Forecast (3M) +4.9%
→ Amidst industrial recovery, imports of precision and structural steel products are steadily increasing ,
and the strengthening of ESG standards and the expansion of demand for low-carbon steel products are acting as structural change factors.