Ⅰ. Industry Overview

The lunchbox franchise industry is entering a period of maturity and stability, driven by the established trend of single-person meals and convenient food delivery after the COVID-19 pandemic and the growing demand from offices and industrial complexes .

The domestic market size is estimated at approximately KRW 3.6 trillion (+4.2% YoY) in 2025. There are approximately 8,800 franchise stores, and the top three brands account for 52% of the market share.

Representative brands: Hansot Dosirak , Bon Dosirak , Obong Dosirak , Dosirak Kingdom , etc. Segmentation by price range and health food category.
 

II. Major Supply Chain Structure

division

Main items

characteristic

IngredientsRice, meat, and vegetable raw materials, side dishes, and saucesHMR factory and group purchasing-centered supply chain
packaging materialsPP·PLA containers, wooden lunch boxes, and paper packagesAccelerating the transition to ESG materials (linked to public supply)
facilityCooking appliances, rice cookers, and packing machinesStandardization of small cooking + rapid packaging systems
distributionMixed refrigerated and frozen deliveryUtilizing B2B platforms such as CJ Freshway and Hanwha GDC
Operational ITPOS·ERP + Delivery App·Corporate Meal Integration APIExpansion of reservation, group, and subscription payment modules
Ⅲ. Supplier Network (B2B-based)

field

Key Partners

characteristic

Food ingredientsCJ CheilJedang, Daesang Cheongjeongwon, Harim, and PulmuoneExpanding OEM lunchbox side dish and sauce supply
packaging materialsHanil Pack · Nature Pack · Samyoung EPEco-friendly PLA, paper, and refill packaging
distributionCJ Freshway · Hyundai GLOVISIntroducing a joint logistics hub to improve fresh food logistics efficiency.
IT · OperationsPOSBANK · Kiosk KoreaUnmanned stores + AI demand forecasting
Ⅳ. Demand and Consumer Trends

Trend

detail

Demand from single-person and office workers remains strongFocused on industrial complexes, universities, offices, and delivery services (58% of total sales)
HMR and convenience food competitionCompetitive landscape with CU, GS25, and E-Mart 24 private brand lunch boxes.
Health and Diet ContentLow-salt, high-protein, diet-type lunchbox sales growth rate +12%
Delivery app/pickup conversionExpanding reservation-based orders through Baedal Minjok and Coupang Eats
Competition in review qualityTemperature, photo, and packaging damage indicators directly affect review scores.
V. Technology and Operational Innovation

AI inventory and demand forecasting system : Reduced waste rate from an average of 25% to 10% by linking weather, day of the week patterns, and order history.

Unmanned payment and smart pickup zones : More than 20% spread in densely populated office areas.

ESG packaging conversion rate of 37% , increasing linkage with public institution procurement.

Reduced damage to refrigerated products by introducing a hybrid logistics network and quick delivery .

Ⅵ. Investment and Profit Structure

item

average

note

Initial startup costs120 million to 180 million wonCooking equipment, packaging, and interior design account for 65%
Monthly sales38 to 55 million wonFluctuations in demand for lunch and overtime
Net profit margin15 ~ 20%Delivery fee and labor cost variables
Payback period26 to 30 monthsShortening the number of days in unmanned stores
VII. ESG and Eco-Friendly Status

Packaging material PP→PLA · Paper conversion continues (38% of all stores).

Strengthening disclosure of country of origin and nutritional information (linked to government labeling system).

Brands participating in 'Food Upcycle,' a surplus food redistribution platform, are expanding.

Electricity costs reduced by an average of 15% by introducing energy-saving cooking and refrigeration equipment.

Ⅷ. Risk Factors and Response Strategies

risk

influence

react

Rising food pricesCost ↑, Profit ↓Group purchasing, alternative diets, and AI unit price prediction
Delivery app feesDecrease in operating profitTransition to pickup and subscription models
Rising labor costsStore operating expenses ↑Unmanned, kiosk, and simple cooking
Discard rate and quality issuesReview and Reputation RiskAI demand forecasting and refrigerated distribution
Intensifying competition in the HMR marketSales erosionEntering the premium lunchbox and B2B corporate catering market
Ⅸ. AI Prediction Loop (2025-2026)

characteristic

Δ(increase/decrease rate)

analysis

Domestic demand for lunch boxes+3.9%Settlement of office workers and students, and the entrenchment of the culture of eating alone
Premium and diet products+8.1%HMR · Healthy Food Fusion
unmanned store ratio+18%Night operations and staff reductions
ESG packaging conversion rate+27%Government policy + rising consumer awareness
Ⅹ. Conclusion and Implications

1️⃣ The mid- to long-term growth axis is "healthy, unmanned, and subscription-based lunchboxes . "
2️⃣ Franchise headquarters need to reduce costs by integrating supply chains and investing in AI inventory management
systems. 3️⃣ From the perspective of suppliers and startups, B2B opportunities should expand with eco-friendly packaging, easy-to-cook, and low-salt sauce lines
. 4️⃣ From a policy perspective, ESG procurement and food upcycling should be expanded.

One-line summary : The lunchbox franchise market is transitioning into a “data-based food culture platform” that
combines HMR, delivery, and unmanned systems , and future success factors depend on AI prediction, ESG packaging, and healthy food positioning .