I. Macroeconomic environment and trade risks

division

Main contents

Basis and Source

Global steel marketDemand for shipbuilding, automobiles, and construction remains strong despite economic slowdowns in the US and China.Bloomberg Steel Market 2025.8
supply structureOversupply centered in China, increasing production in India and VietnamReuters Metals 2025.7
Import dependence in KoreaSome of the high-grade steel plates for automobiles and shipbuilding rely on foreign sources (17% of total).Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy 2025
external variablesEU Carbon Border Tax (CBAM) and the influx of low-cost Chinese goodsWTO Trade Report 2025

South Korea's steel imports remain stable , centered on high-grade steel plates and special steel , while downward pressure on unit prices due to global oversupply and carbon tax risks coexist.

Ⅱ. Analysis of Import Item Status and Characteristics

item

Details

Data source

HS code72 (Iron and Steel)UN Comtrade
Main detailed items7208 (hot rolled steel sheet), 7210 (coated steel sheet), 7219 (stainless steel), 7225 (alloy steel)Customs Service Trade Statistics
Import volume in 2024Approximately USD 18.7 billion (2.8% of total imports)KCS·OEC 2025
Average annual growth rate ('20–'24)+3.9%Industrial Yearbook
Major demand sourcesAutomotive, shipbuilding, construction, machinery, and energy equipment industries 

The HS72 product group has a complex structure of steel intermediate materials and finished products , and its product diversity is increasing in line with the demand for carbon-neutral and high-strength technologies.

III. Characteristics of major importing countries and supply chains

ranking

importing country

specific gravity(%)

Main items

Features and Risks

1china41Hot-rolled and cold-rolled steel sheets, reinforcing barsHigh price competitiveness, but quality variation exists
2japan26High-grade stainless steel, alloy steelHigh-grade steel for automobiles and shipbuilding
3taiwan9Galvanized steel sheet/special steelElectronic materials center
4India8Hot rolled and thick plateFor shipbuilding and construction
5vietnam5hot rolled coilFocus on reprocessed products

The top five countries account for more than 89% of total imports, and the supply structure is being reorganized into
a balanced structure: China's low-priced goods → Japan's high-quality steel → India and Taiwan .

Ⅳ. Import volume and supply stability

division

2023 Q3

2024 Q3

Increase/decrease (%)

note

Hot rolled steel sheet (ton)2,980,0003,130,000+5.0Focused on automobiles and shipbuilding
cold rolled steel sheet1,520,0001,570,000+3.3High-end home appliances and machinery industry
stainless steel720,000780,000+8.3For sanitary and chemical facilities
alloy steel450,000470,000+4.4For energy and construction machinery
total+5.3stable growth

Imports are increasing due to the recovery of the automobile and shipbuilding industries , and the structure is shifting to focus on high value-added special steel.

V. Unit price and price trends

Item

2024 Q1

2024 Q2

2024 Q3

change(%)

Hot rolled steel sheet (USD/ton)770790805+1.9
cold rolled steel sheet880910920+1.1
stainless steel2,0402,1502,240+4.2
alloy steel1,3201,3401,355+1.1

Stainless steel and alloy steel are seeing rising unit prices, while low-priced Chinese products are holding down the overall average unit price.

Ⅵ. Seasonal patterns

branch

characteristic

Import Volatility Index (0–1)

Q1Steel mill regular maintenance machine0.43
Q2Increase in construction and shipbuilding orders0.69
Q3Steel sheet peak for home appliances and automobiles0.74
Q4Year-end adjustment period0.56

The Q2-Q3 import-focused structure is directly linked to the demand for special steel for shipbuilding and automobiles.

VII. Tariff and Non-Tariff Barriers and Alternative Industries

item

detail

Tariff rateAverage 3%, duty-free in most FTA partner countries
Non-tariffEU Carbon Border Tax (CBAM) Strengthens Quality and Specification Inspections
Domestic alternative industries75% domestic production rate of high-strength steel and non-oriented electrical steel
Future tasksDemonstration and commercialization of carbon reduction ironmaking technology (hydrogen reduction ironmaking)

Carbon regulation-responsive import strategies and the transition to hydrogen reduction ironmaking technology will be key to future industrial competitiveness.

Ⅷ. ESG · Net Zero Correlation

characteristic

evaluation

analysis

Carbon emissions impactvery highThe steelmaking process itself is a high-carbon industry.
ESG RiskMedium to highDiverse environmental standards for raw material importers
Net Zero ContributionmiddleRoom for improvement when switching to hydrogen reduction ironmaking

The steel industry is a key target for the transition to carbon neutrality , and demand for carbon certification for imported steel is rapidly increasing.

Ⅸ. Country-specific risk indices

importing country

Policy/Environmental Risk (0–1)

Logistics Risk (0–1)

Comprehensive Trust Index

china0.450.320.63
japan0.220.250.81
taiwan0.270.290.77
India0.360.330.69
vietnam0.380.340.68

Average Trust Index = 0.72 (Good)
The stability of the high-quality supply chain centered on Japan and Taiwan is high, but dependence on China remains a risk factor.

Ⅹ. Key Buyers and Industry Links

industry

Major companies

Imported items

note

steel manufacturingPOSCO, Hyundai SteelSlabs/semi-finished productsRolling after import
automobileHyundai, Kia, GM, and Renault KoreaGalvanized steel plate/stainless steelFocus on advanced materials
Shipbuilding and PlantsSamsung Heavy Industries, Hyundai Heavy IndustriesThick plate/hot rolledFor large ships and equipment
Machinery and home appliancesLG Electronics, Hanwha, DoosanCold rolled and alloy steelFor corrosion-resistant and precision parts

The demand structure is centered on automobiles (37%), shipbuilding (29%), and machinery (16%) .

Ⅺ. AI Trade Index and 3-Month Forecast

characteristic

Currently (2025 Q3)

Compared to the previous quarter (Δ%)

analysis

ΔImport+2.7%▲0.8Increase in imports centered on high-grade steel
ΔPrice+2.1%▲0.6rising stainless steel prices
ΔCountryShare+0.4%▲0.3Increased share of Japan and Taiwan
Trust Index0.72=Good maintenance
Forecast (3M)+3.2%Construction and shipbuilding orders continue in Q4

Summary: HS72 imports continue to rise moderately.
Stable growth, driven by high-grade and special steels compliant with carbon regulations, is driving limited unit price increases.

Ⅻ. Policy Recommendations and System Improvement Roadmap

division

Suggestion

Expected effect

1Expanding investment in hydrogen reduction ironmaking technology demonstrationCarbon reduction + competitiveness enhancement
2Tax support for R&D to replace high-grade steel importsImproving localization rate
3Introduction of a low-carbon certification system to respond to CBAMImproving access to the EU market
4Import Control Using AI Trade Forecasting ModelsInventory efficiency
5Strengthening the Advanced Materials Industry-Steel Linkage PolicyStabilization of the industrial ecosystem
ⅩⅢ. General Conclusion

HS72 (Steel) Imports Trade Index – 2025 Q3
ΔImport +2.7% , ΔPrice +2.1% , Trust 0.72 , Forecast (3M) +3.2%
Outlook: Maintaining a moderate upward trend (Positive-Neutral).
The import structure is evolving, focusing on high-grade steel for shipbuilding and automobiles, and
carbon/CBAM-responsive technologies and supply chain diversification strategies are presented as key mid- to long-term directions.