I. Macroeconomic environment and trade risks

division

Main contents

Basis and Source

global automobile marketElectric vehicle (EV) demand is increasing, but some slowdown is occurring due to high interest rates.Bloomberg 2025.9
Korean market structure2.4 million imported vehicles registered (15% of total)Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport vehicle registration statistics
trade regulationsImpact of the IRA (US Inflation Reduction Act) and the EU CBAMReuters 2025.8
FTA impact0% tariffs on EU and US automobiles, 3-8% for non-FTA countriesMinistry of Trade, Industry and Energy FTA announcement data

The rising share of EVs and hybrid vehicles and the increase in reverse imports of battery components are rapidly changing the HS87 import structure.

Ⅱ. Analysis of Import Item Status and Characteristics

item

Details

Data source

HS code87 (Vehicles other than railway or tramway)UN Comtrade
Main detailed items8703 (passenger cars), 8704 (trucks), 8708 (parts and accessories)Customs Service Trade Statistics
2024 import volumeApproximately USD 44.3 billion (6.5% of total imports)KCS Trade Statistics
Average annual growth rate ('20–'24)+4.2%OEC data
Key growth factorsPremium car imports are on the rise, and EV and battery parts are being imported back into the market. 

The HS87 product group is a composite of finished vehicles and parts , and is directly affected by the transition to electric vehicles and the shift in global supply chains.

III. Characteristics of major importing countries and supply chains

ranking

importing country

Specific gravity (%)

Features and Risks

1germany32Focused on premium brands (BMW, Benz, Audi)
2USA21Focus on electric vehicles and SUVs
3japan17Hybrid and compact cars
4Mexico9Reverse import from Hyundai and Kia production bases
5china8EV parts and battery cables

The top five countries account for 87% of total imports, with the premium and electrified vehicle import pattern, particularly driven by Germany, the US and Japan, continuing.

Ⅳ. Import volume and supply stability

division

2023 Q3

2024 Q3

Increase/decrease (%)

note

passenger car (large)256,000267,000+4.3Premium and EV share increases
Parts (million)441462+4.8Modules, sensors, and electrical components
commercial vehicle (large)14,80015,300+3.4For construction and logistics
Total (USD)10.82 billion11.41 billion+5.5stable growth

Imports of finished vehicles are flat, while imports of parts are growing at an accelerated rate due to electrification (increase in electronic components) .

V. Unit price and price trends

item

2024 Q1

Q2

Q3

Compared to the previous quarter (%)

Average passenger car import price (USD/vehicle)47,20049,10050,400+2.6
Electric Vehicles (USD/Vehicle)56,80059,70061,200+2.5
Parts (USD/kg)13.513.914.4+3.6

The average import price is on the rise due to the increasing proportion of luxury vehicles from Europe and the United States.

Ⅵ. Seasonal patterns

branch

characteristic

Import Volatility Index (0–1)

Q1New car launch order0.52
Q2Concentrated imports of European cars0.70
Q3EV parts imports peak0.77
Q4Year-end import car adjustment period0.58

The Q2-Q3 concentration pattern is clear, with imports of electric vehicles and parts in particular accelerating in the summer.

VII. Tariff and Non-Tariff Barriers and Alternative Industries

item

detail

Tariff rate0% from the EU and US, 3-8% from non-FTA countries
Non-tariffEnvironmental regulations, CBAM, and IRA tax deduction requirements
Domestic alternative industriesThe domestic production rate of electric vehicles is 71%, and the domestic production rate of parts is 88%.
Future tasksEstablishing a circular economy and recycling system for batteries and electrical components.

Carbon and battery supply chain certifications, rather than regulations, influence import speeds.

Ⅷ. ESG · Net Zero Correlation

characteristic

evaluation

analysis

Carbon emissions impactawardAutomobile production and transportation stages
Net Zero ContributionMedium to highEV/HEV proliferation
ESG RiskmiddleBattery raw material supply chain

The increase in the proportion of electric and eco-friendly vehicles has a positive effect on the ESG transition.

Ⅸ. Country-specific risk indices

importing country

Policy/Regulatory Risk (0–1)

Logistics Risk (0–1)

Trust Index

germany0.280.270.79
USA0.240.310.80
japan0.290.280.76
Mexico0.330.360.70
china0.440.420.61

Average Trust Index = 0.73 (Good) – Relatively high supply stability due to the supply structure centered on major FTA countries.

Ⅹ. Key Buyers and Industry Links

industry

Major companies

Imported items

note

Imported car distributionBMW Korea, Benz Korea, Audi Volkswagenfinished vehicleFocus on high-priced premium
Domestic car manufacturingHyundai, Kia, and KG MobilityReimport of parts from overseas factoriesGlobal factory linkage
Electrical components and batteriesLG Energy Solutions, Samsung SDI, and Hyundai MobisSensors, motors, and wiringEV core components
aftermarketBosch, ZF, DelphiParts & AccessoriesExpanding the service market
Ⅺ. AI Trade Index and 3-Month Forecast

characteristic

Currently (2025 Q3)

Compared to the previous quarter (Δ%)

analysis

ΔImport+2.9%▲ 1.0Increase in EV and component focus
ΔPrice+2.4%▲ 0.7Rising share of premium tea
ΔCountryShare+0.5%▲ 0.3Increased EU and US presence
Trust Index0.73=Good
Forecast (3M)+3.6%Increase in new car and parts arrivals at the end of the year

Summary: HS87 imports are showing a moderate upward trend (positive-neutral). Imports of electric vehicle parts and premium vehicles continue to grow, and the country's share is being reorganized according to the IRA and FTA environment.

Ⅻ. Policy Recommendations and System Improvement Roadmap

division

Suggestion

Expected effect

1Introduction of a circular economy certification system for batteries and electrical componentsESG · CBAM response
2Establishment of a Joint Consultative Body on FTA Expansion and IRA Tax CreditsPrice and supply stability
3Domestic EV parts reverse export program launchedImproving the reverse import structure
4Import forecast management based on AI trade indexProcurement efficiency
5Considering limited application of eco-friendly vehicle subsidy policy to imported vehiclesMaintaining market balance
ⅩⅢ. General Conclusion

HS87 (Vehicles and Parts) Imports Trade Index – 2025 Q3
ΔImport +2.9%, ΔPrice +2.4%, Trust 0.73, Forecast +3.6%
Outlook: Moderate increase (Positive-Neutral).
The market is transitioning to a structure centered on EVs and parts, and import growth is expected to continue over the next three months. Free trade agreement (FTA) utilization and supply chain ESG management are presented as key policy axes.